Is this invasion of Ukraine revealing that perhaps Russia’s integrated ground combat abilities, long thought to be exemplary, have been massively overestimated?
Pentagon assessments and news reports from the warzone suggest that attacking Russian forces may be experiencing a serious and widespread “morale” problem, a factor quite likely to slow down, impair or simply remove their will to fight. They are not fighting for their homeland but instead being ordered into their potential death for reasons unlikely to be of crucial importance to them.
Russia’s Military Capabilities
Recognizing this morale deficit, and its expected impact upon performance, some might still raise what seems to be a fair and relevant question. Has the world overestimated Russia’s military capabilities?
Russia’s massive convoy headed toward Kyiv continues to be “stalled,” the military is reportedly suffering from substantial logistics and sustainment setbacks, and their force protection mechanisms seem quite challenged given the extent to which Ukrainian ambushes have decimated Russian combat vehicles at key “choke points.”
Certainly many are likely to have underestimated the tenacity, resolve, combat prowess and sheer intensity of the Ukrainian military, yet a more surprising observation seems to be that Russia’s military prowess may have been greatly overestimated.